A while back I wrote an ARIN guest post describing how to project they would run out of IPv4 addresses. APNIC's Geoff Huston famously predicts the runout date of each of the RIRs, as does Tony Hain. But I think everybody ought to be able to do their own analysis.

I've also recent run the same kind of data for LACNIC.

So, here's their current run rate since Y2K, projected forward using various curves:

And here it is using the last year:

The long term curve is remarkably smooth. But just as interesting, I think, is that fact that every one of those curves hits zero earlier than any projection I've run for ARIN. So, if you're in the LACNIC region, you may want to speed up your IPv6 deployment plans.

Lee Howard
20 November 2013